Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2067/46256
Title: Smallholder farmers’ perception of climate change and drivers of adaptation in agriculture: A case study in Guinea
Authors: Ceci, Paolo
Monforte, Lavinia
Perelli, Chiara
Cicatiello, Clara 
Branca, Giacomo 
Franco, Silvio 
Diallo, Fatoumata Binta Sombily
Blasi, Emanuele 
Scarascia Mugnozza, Giuseppe 
Journal: REVIEW OF DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS 
Issue Date: 2021
Abstract: 
In developing countries, the adoption of effective climate change adaptation strategies can safeguard rural communities’ livelihoods. Using survey data collected in Guinea in 2012, the paper investigates the factors affecting households’ strategies to face adverse climate change impacts. A three-step methodology is applied: (1) assessment of the magnitude of real climatic trends in the study area together with farmers’ perception of climate change; (2) identification of physical and socioeconomic variables influencing farmers’ adaptation propensity; and (3) analysis of factors affecting adaptation choices, including climate change perception. The climatic data analysis confirms increase in minimum and maximum temperature trends, increase in annual average millimeters of rain, and decrease in average number of storms per year. Farmers’ perception of climate change turned out to be aligned with historical climatic trends and represents an important determinant for the adoption of adaptation strategies. The regression model results suggest that the propensity to adapt is positively influenced by the level of education and a limited access to water resources and agricultural inputs, forcing households to adopt new cropping calendars. Effective policy action should consider different areas, including climate change awareness, education, access to natural and physical assets, and availability of economic resources to local communities.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2067/46256
ISSN: 1363-6669
DOI: 10.1111/rode.12815
Rights: Attribution 4.0 International
Appears in Collections:A1. Articolo in rivista

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